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managers, but they are not
thinking in terms of long-term markets or trends. They are looking
for that 10-million-chip-a-month order. They are talkers, not
listeners. You don't really need any good applications people, for
these big consumer electronic markets, the customer just hands you a
preliminary data sheet and the sales guy just tosses that to an IC
designer. It costs a few hundred grand to design the chip and the
best thing is that you get high-volume revenue immediately. A company
that has the talent and foresight to just design a good
general-purpose part, well they have to compete against all the other
general-purpose parts and the sales team has to endure the slow ramp
up of volume. With that high-volume needle things are so much more satisfying. All the sales and marketing managers get a big bonus because their pet project is moving 10 million parts a month. The product groups get a pat on the forehead and a cookie as well, since they did not spend anything on applications or system expertise, the customer told then just what the chip had to do. To top things off, the part will go on the website so if anyone else wants to uses it, well, that is just pure cream. That high-volume needle in the arm has some problems. When things get bad, you lose 10 million parts a month from all those high volume customers across all those high-volume projects. And you loose that business all at once. All the semiconductor companies have talked about how Asian manufacturers are becoming their largest market. But executives need to get down in the dirt to see what is really going on. I had an FAE at a semiconductor company tell me: "Sure we sell a lot of parts to Asia. Those low-voltage CMOS consumer parts are what we have been making. If we made parts for the ISM market I could have kept the volume here in the USA." Now I doubt anything could have maintained volumes at |
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US levels, but that FAE had a point. In this downturn all the
analog semiconductor companies are beefing up their ISM portfolio. You won't hear any talk about emphasizing consumer electronics for the next three years. Everyone will want to be like Linear Technology, who has always served ISM markets superbly. ADI will stress is iBipolar high-voltage process and National will continue on its road towards broad-market customers. Texas Instruments' analog division is divided into high-volume and high-performance in acknowledgment of the high-margin ISM markets. Maxim has always catered to industrial customers as well as its high-volume business. But then times will get good and all those managers and executives will start eying that high-volume needle again. "Just one, just one shot of consumer electronics and then I'll quit." Then that needle will start getting passed around again. . files |
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